Biden finally sees a BOOST in the polls against Trump, but a drop in support from one of the Democrat’s most loyal voting blocs could be devastating to his chances in 2024

  • A poll from the presidential election in April shows that Biden is marginally ahead of Trump with seven months until the November showdown
  • Follows a series of national surveys with the former president far ahead of Biden
  • A poll shows Biden struggling with black voters in six swing states that favor Trump

<!–

<!–

<!– <!–

<!–

<!–

<!–

A number of polls have shown President Joe Biden, 81, pulling ahead of Donald Trump, 77, by a few points with just seven months to go until the 2020 showdown.

Despite this slight boost in recent head-to-head battles with Trump, the president is slipping with black voters in swing states, a critical demographic vote in the 2024 election and could be damaging to Biden’s re-election chances.

A Wall Street Journal poll taken earlier this month reveals that black registered voters in six out of seven swing states considered would cast their ballots for former President Trump over Biden if the election were held today.

In Wisconsin, one of the swing states in the vote, the two geriatric candidates were tied.

Meanwhile, several polls taken in April show Biden either tied or trailing Trump by between one and four percentage points.

New presidential election poll in April shows that President Joe Biden is pulling slightly ahead of Donald Trump with only seven months until November's showdown

New presidential election poll in April shows that President Joe Biden is pulling slightly ahead of Donald Trump with only seven months until November’s showdown

But separate voting spells trouble for Biden in his 2024 re-election bid, with black voters in six of the seven swing states favoring Trump over the incumbent.  Pictured: Blacks for Trump members gather outside the Fulton County Jail in Atlanta, Georgia in August 2023 to support the president as he arrived to report and have his mugshot taken

But separate voting spells trouble for Biden in his 2024 re-election bid, with black voters in six of the seven swing states favoring Trump over the incumbent.  Pictured: Blacks for Trump members gather outside the Fulton County Jail in Atlanta, Georgia in August 2023 to support the president as he arrived to report and have his mugshot taken

But separate voting spells trouble for Biden in his 2024 re-election bid, with black voters in six of the seven swing states favoring Trump over the incumbent. Pictured: Blacks for Trump members gather outside the Fulton County Jail in Atlanta, Georgia in August 2023 to support the president as he arrived to report and have his mugshot taken

The results of all polls followed by the FiveThirtyEight average in April fall within their respective margins of error.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted on 4-8 April among 833 registered voters had the largest difference with Biden leading by 4 points – 41 percent to 37 percent.

Two separate national polls have the two candidates tied at 43 percent, but a third survey by TIPP Insights has them tied at 38 percent, when third-party candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be considered.

The same TIPP Insights survey taken on 3-5 April shows Biden ahead of Trump by 3 percentage points (40-43 percent) when the former and current president are the only two considered in the survey of 1,265 registered voters.

A Morning Consult survey conducted on 5-7 April among 6,236 registered voters – by far the largest sample size – shows Trump ahead of Biden by 1 percentage point.

While national polling is important, regional surveys in swing states are more indicative of how the 2024 election could swing with just seven states creating the deciding factor that could decide results in November.

Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are being closely watched in the run-up to the 2024 presidential election.

While polls in the battleground states often swing between the Democratic and Republican candidates, recent WSJ polls show Biden losing steam among black voters in those states.

North Carolina is where he sees the biggest decline with this voting block, as 49 percent say they would vote for Trump if the election were held today, compared to the 43 percent who say they would vote for Biden.

April Wall Street Journal poll shows Trump ahead among black voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina and Pennsylvania ¿ and tied with Biden in Wisconsin

April Wall Street Journal poll shows Trump ahead among black voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina and Pennsylvania ¿ and tied with Biden in Wisconsin

April Wall Street Journal poll shows Trump ahead among black voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina and Pennsylvania – and tied with Biden in Wisconsin

In Arizona, Trump is ahead by 5 percentage points among black voters and in Nevada by 4 percent.

The margin of error for the Journal poll is 4 percentage points, and 600 registered voters were polled in each state.

Georgia, Michigan and Pennsylvania all fall within the margin of error between 1 and 3 percent, but still show black voters there favoring Trump over Biden.

“I think winning back more black men will be key for him,” said Democratic pollster Michael Bocian, who conducted the WSJ poll, in discussing Biden’s chances in 2024.

Wisconsin was the only swing state where Biden tied with Trump, and the president did not win a majority of black voters in any of the seven in the survey.