Swing states poll offers Biden a path to victory: Stopping Trump is voters’ second most important priority
Democrats may not be particularly enthusiastic about returning an aging Joe Biden to power in 2024, but he has one huge advantage in key battlegrounds: Keeping Donald Trump out of power is the second most important issue for voters.
An exclusive DailyMail.com poll found that respondents in Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin said the economy would be the most important factor in their decision.
After that, Trump was stopped, as indicated by 20 percent of respondents in Wisconsin and 16 percent in Georgia. It was pushed into third place by the border in Arizona, one of the hot spots for migrants crossing the border into the United States.
In an election that pits a 77-year-old against an 81-year-old in a 2020 runoff that no one seems to want, they could offer the Democrats something to steal votes.
The poll of 550 voters in every state found that Democrats consider stopping Trump the most important issue of the election.
Stopping Trump is the second most important issue for voters in three key swing states. The economy is the most imported, according to our poll of voters
Former President Donald Trump is leading President Joe Biden in Arizona and Georgia but trailing in Wisconsin, according to a poll conducted by JL Partners for DailyMail.com.
Joe Alder, a senior fellow at JL Partners, which conducted the survey for DailyMail.com, said: the border.
“For Democrats, the race is more personal: stopping Donald Trump is by far their biggest motivator.
“Given concerns that Biden’s age rating is lower than might be expected, this suggests the campaign is pitting Biden’s record as president against Trump’s record as a person.”
DailyMail.com polled Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin for their centrality in the 2020 election.
All three gave their Electoral College votes to Trump in 2016 and went to Biden in 2020.
This time it’s different.
Trump leads Biden by five points in Arizona and three points in Georgia. However, Biden leads his likely opponent in Wisconsin in 2024 by five percentage points.
Republicans were almost spoiled for choice when asked which issues were most important to them.
A surge in inflation caused by the pandemic means families are feeling the pinch from rising prices under Biden, while record numbers of people are crossing the border illegally this year.
Both questions dominated Republican responses.
JL Partners surveyed 550 voters in Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin. The results show Joe Biden is at risk of losing two states that helped him win in 2020.
Biden is already the oldest president in history, and polls have shown voters, including Democrats, are concerned about his age.
Still, in a survey of swing states, relatively few Republicans expressed concern about Biden himself or his age—just three percent in Arizona, one percent in Georgia and two percent in Wisconsin.
For Democrats, stopping Trump was the most important issue in every swing state.
The economy was in second place.
However, when it comes to Black and Latino voters, addressing the economy is by far the most important issue.
“Biden’s problem is that even traditionally loyal Democratic constituencies are not enthusiastic about his record,” Alder said.
“It is nonwhite voters and people ages 18 to 29 who are most likely to rank the economy among their top concerns, despite Republicans dominating that category overall.
“Frustration over what is seen as a sluggish recovery appears to be weakening Biden among these longtime sources of Democratic support.”
The results show a similar pattern in each state. Both candidates have lost support since 2020. In Georgia, Biden lost by 11 points, with some saying they didn’t know how they would vote.
That may help explain why the results also show Trump struggling to win support for Biden among ethnic minorities, a key part of the 2020 coalition that helped bring him to power.
Democratic strategist Brad Bannon said the Biden campaign should be wary of falling behind in key states, but there is plenty of time to turn things around, especially if stopping Trump is key to voter sentiment.
“From Biden’s perspective, it comes down to comparing what life was like in the United States while he was president with what it was like when Donald Trump was president,” he said.
That would mean reminding voters of a country devastated by COVID, where 10 million people have lost their jobs, compared with an administration that has created about 14 million jobs.
“There are a lot of voters, especially swing voters in the suburbs, who don’t like Joe Biden but are very concerned about the prospect of a second Trump term,” he added.